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Squilliam said:

Sales: Kinect is pretty much selling as fast as it could sell. I don't really see it being able to have sold another 2M for instance over and above its current sales rate. At the present point they are more than satisfactory. I don't see any good reason why the sales will suddenly die once the new year starts, its not like people suddenly realised that the Wii would be 'destined to be a dust collector' on Jan 1 2007 and then told all their friends not to bother. If we go by Nintendo then word of mouth ought to peak closer to 8-10 weeks out from release or maybe much later given the lower penetration of Kinect compared to Wii in all places, then interest from the current games lineup and experiences ought to peak sometime in 2011 depending on how far that is in the future which I cannot say and the titles which appeal in the intervening time period between now and the current likely peak interest ignoring all future games.

Why we should assume it will have a Wii-like pattern in the first place?