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Slimebeast said:

Uncharted 3 no way (amazing game but "too much of the same", plus it's PS3 exclusive. Awards tend to go to multiplatforms).

Mass effect 3 if it comes out late 2011 then yes, certainly it's a contender. But if ME3 comes out early 2011 then Skyrim is the clear favorite to win Spike's VGA GOTY.

Even with ME3 before x-mas 2011 I think Skyrim is a bigger favorite. Bethesda has two straight GOTY winners behind it, it was 5 years since the last Elder Scrolls and Skyrim will wow everybody with amazing graphics.

Why would we care about the VGA?

And how do you reconcile this argument with the fact that RDR, an early 2010 game, won GOTY on the VGAs?

Or the fact that Uncharted 2, an exclusive, won the majority of awards in 2009? Or Bioshock, an exclusive at the time and an early-in-the-year release, swept up in 2007?