I think it will be very close between all 3 consoles next year. I'm expecting each of them to finish 2011 with sales in the 9-14 million range. I think if the PS3 gets $100 price cut (which seems likely), it will strong numbers. Kinect may be enough to all ow Microsoft to do very well next year, or it may die off quickly after the holidays, but I think it will do well. If Nintendo has a new console in early 2010 then I think they may just let the Wii slow down in 2011, with a few strong performing games like Zelda and a $50 price cut. If the next Nintendo console isn't coming until 2013 I'd expect Nintendo to be a little more agressive next year, with maybe a redesign and a potential big seller or two. So overall it should be an interesting year, seeing whic console comes out on top between the three, but I do think overall sales of the three consoles will be down quite a bit next year.
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