Immortal said:
Chibi.V.29 said:
Immortal said:
Conegamer said:
Still, if that's the case, let's say the wii ends up 100k behind this year.
This is the year that the Wii has been "doomed" too many times to count, yet is only 100k behind the 360 which had Halo Reach, Slim model, Kinect, lots of advertising and a price cut. The Wii has had nothing but software and bundles. I think Nintendo has far more cards yet to lay on the table than 360, so I don't think anyone is worried!
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Yeah, honestly, that's something HD fans seem to forget too many times (though I don't believe 360 had a price cut this year. I thought it had held price since 2008). Just because the Wii has been falling for a while and PS360 have been rising doesn't mean it'll continue. They seem to think that the Wii won't come first next year 'cause it's declining. They don't seem to realize that this is the year when both HD consoles peak and it's downhill for them too. If older market trends mean anything, they're gonna fall much faster. Wouldn't even be shocked to see Wii at 50% market share for 2011 or 2012.
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I will quite happily make a bet with you this moment saying that the wii will not have a 50% market share XD in 2011
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2011, actually, probably not. But I'd be willing to make that bet for 2012, even if the PS3 gets the price cut to $199.
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Before you sign away your girlfriend... ignoring heavy adjustments, for the Wii to reach 50% marketshare it has to outsell the combined sales of the PS3 and 360 within your timeframe by 11 million.
for example if the Wii can somehow equal the HD twins between now and January, then somehow matches it's best year so far for 2011 (ie sells 24.4 million in 2011) then the combined sales of the PS3 and 360 would have to be less than 13.4 million. (which is a figure both of the HD consoles are going to at least get close to this year)
