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daroamer on 04 December 2010
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CGI-Quality said:
damndl0ser said:

I was guessing 1.75m to 2.0 mill for first week so it did pretty much what I was expecting.  As I have said all along, this gen of gaming is all about the FPS (shooters in general) games.    And racing, platforming and a lot of other types of games simply don't sell like they used to or even should, this is why I estimated GT's sales to be 6-7 million lifetime and a lot of people laughed at me.  I still think GT5 will do those numbers if its bundled heavily, but if it isn't it may only do 5million.

 

I guess we will get a really good idea of what it will do in a week or 2.  We will have an idea of the games legs, but I am not holding out a lot of hope for it doing any more than 7 million.  And a lot of people who had those idiotic estimates of 10-20million will be eating wheel barrels full of crow which is unfortunate because I like GT5 and have owned all but a couple of the GTp games.

ioi predicted 10 million as well, and I think we'll agree that his statements are hardly "idiotic".

Besides, 5 million is what Prologue did, and it didn't start off like GT5. GT5 will easily clear 5mill, and 10 million isn't out of the question. Looking back @ GT4, GT5's numbers account for less days, and it only sold 500,000 less than it. That isn't really a strong sign of franchise decline. The only shooters this gen with large numbers are CoD, Gears, & Halo. One of those (Halo) was already big to begin with (previous gen).

I never understand why people think so many shooters sell so big. It's really not many.

My only issue with the pre-release predicition is I think everyone assumed it would be a 90 meta score at the very least.  After all the talk about making sure the game was up to their standards before release and taking 6 years to complete with constant delays that most people responded to with "well, it's ok to delay since it was 90% done 2 years ago and this is just extra polish to make sure it's perfect!" it was natural to assume the game would get phenomenal reviews.

Sadly that doesn't seem to be the case.  While certain portions of the game are excellent and unmatched, it also fails in many areas and is extremely inconsistent.  As of right now it got the lowest score for a GT game since the first one with a metacritic of 84.

Still a good score, and other GTs have scores in the 80s and still sold well, but it's a different market and more competition.  I don't think 10 million is guaranteed.