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Lot of good games did come out this year so we'll see what they choose.  Also we'll see how prevalent the bias is towards when a game releases.  Lot of good games came out this year before the second half, such as God of War 3, Red Dead: Redemption, Super Mario Galaxy 2, and Mass Effect 2, to name a few of them.

Personally for me, throughout the year Red Dead: Redemption and Super Mario Galaxy 2 have easily been my top 2.  If I were deciding I would probably take RDR over SMG2 but really it is a thin line.  Followed by AC: Brotherhood and Halo: Reach.  Been a good year though.