| Barozi said: oh my god this is old as shit. People still don't know this ? I thought this is getting teached in every school by now... Just look what richardhutnik posted and it's veeeery easy to understand. Let there be a million doors and one of them has the prize in it. Pick one, your chances to win are 1/1000000 at the moment. The host closes every other door except for 2, naturally there is only the one you picked at the very beginning left and a second one. Your door STILL has the probability of 0,000001%, thus the other door IS in 999999 cases the right one. |
The example I gave I believe I got out of a book, and it made it clear to me. I originally thought it was 50-50 before I happened to get ahold of that example from the book. I don't recall which book I read it in though.
