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A lot of guesswork here, but I'm thinking an average of 2.5 Move wands per household. I also reckon no more than 3 million sell-through. So I'm thinking there are about 1-1.2 million Move enabled households. That gels pretty well with VGC's current sports champs sales of ~875K with an attach rate of 73%. Although that's without BF sales.

I'd say Move sell though by new year will be close to 5 million making an install base of about 2 million. Waaaaay behind Kinect, but in and of itself it's a pretty reasonable start. INstall base needs to be at least 5 million and preferrably 7-10 million by end of next year. 10 million install base for Move by the beginning of 2012 would be an outright success IMO.

Anyway 4.1 million shipped is good for now.



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