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I doubt Wii will ever pass PS2. It barely halfway there and its been here for 4 years and it has already peaked. Even if it stays around for 6 more years (like the PS2) i severely doubt it can sustain, considering its already old hardware to being with. In 2016 the average cellphone (in the west at least) is gonna play more advanced games than the Wii...

And this might not have anything to do with it since all consoles are doing great this generation; but, starting 2011 i do think the Wii will be in 3rd place of new home consoles sold, it will still stay on top for the rest of the generation though and continue to do well.