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atma998 on 28 November 2010
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CGI-Quality said:
atma998 said:
psrock said:
atma998 said:
Jay520 said:
atma998 said:

Launch sales are as I expected. The game should end around 6-7 mil LTD. But of course it will takes more than a year before people predicting 10M sales may admit the true potential of this game.

It's only going to outsell GT5P by 1-2  mil?

I'm thinking 8.5-9.5mil.

The game is gonna sale 3mil in 2011.

Well, we'll see. But judging by launch numbers and by reviews, I think my prediction is more reasonable, unless of course, the game is bundled.

I think it's going to be a long shot to 10 million as no other PS3 games has done it yet, but it will sell beyond 8 million easily. The thing about these games, they never stop selling, gt5p was still sellling up to this point.

GT5P sold around 6k last week, which represents around 300k/year.

No game ever reached the 10 million mark on PS3, not even a Call of Duty game nor GTAIV, two far more popular franchises that had bigger launch sales.

Uh Prologue sold 17,000 last week and has seen 20K (plus) weeks for a while now. And just because no game has reached 10 million on PS3 doesn't mean GT5 won't.

Let's also remember this 1.8 mill is two days worth of data, not a full week. The full week should put it @ 2.4-2.5 mill and it should hit 4 million by year's end, putting it clear on track to outsell that 6-7mill lifetime prediction.

Unless the legs are horrible (unlikely, reviews mean zilch for a franchise like Gran Turismo), it will clear at least 8-9 mill, but 10 is doable.



Where did you see your 17,000 unit sold last week? Because the charts is listing GT5:P at 5,894 unit sold for last week.

Even if first week is around 2.4-2.5 mil like you said, are you aware that GTAIV had a 2.55 mil first week and is only at 6.91M? Knowing that GTA franchise is > than GT how can you see GT5 selling 10 million?

Let's say the game's hit 4 million at the end of the year.

It sells another 2 million in 2011 (average of 40k/week for the whole year).

 And let's say another 0.75M in 2012 and 0.4M in 2013, which is reasonable.

It only makes 7.15M and these numbers were optimistic.