Rath said:
TX109 said:
i cant help but wonder if, at this point, war is inevitable.
im seriously expecting a US vs. Spain. 1898, the USS Maine mysteriously blew up in havana harbor, and the US gov't jumped to the conclusion that it had been blown up by the spanish(it is now believed to have been a boiler explosion), sending them into war. though, if it werent for the Maine incident, it would have been some other random incident that set the US, or even Spain, off.
i think that something will happen, be it another ship being sunk, a military plane blown out of the air, or something as small as a building fire near the DMZ, to set both countries off and into war. i seriously feel like, in some ways, both countries are looking for an excuse. it seems that at least NK is, and are even trying to provoke SK into making some rash decisions so they can say they are justified.
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If South Korea was looking for an excuse they'd be at war long ago. However they know a war would tank their economy so in reality a war would be bad for them and they know it.
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That's true.
Every war fighter simulation ends with the same results. The only issue is how much damage the DPRK can inflict before they throw in the towel.
But even after "winning" a conflict that resulted in a reintegrated Korea, the ROK still loses by having to clean up the mess and foot the bill.
Global economy is tied into Korea's too. No winners in this one which is why the policy towards the DPRK has always been detente every time they make another play to be the agitator, stay visible and stay "relevant" by conducting missile tests, conducting nuclear tests, torpedoing a ship outside their waters, firing artillery shells on civilians, etc. ad nauseum.
