North Korea fires artillery at a populated South Korean Island

[Joelcool7]

PDF said:

I agree with most your points but...

1.  Yes Russia and China have ties to North Korea but their leaders are sane.  No sane leader would provoke a World War.  Its not in their best interest.   China and Russia will let the USA pretty much due what ever they want and to some degree vice versa.  EX: Georgia, Tibet

2.  A war without ally help North Korea could conquer the south but it would not happen with US, and EU backing the South.  Yes there would be Massive casualties lost for the South but the North would never win.

3.  That is not true at all.  The US would have no need to start a draft.   The US controls the Air and Skies and thats all needed to keep the north from winning.  The USA has no interest in holding the North, like they did in Iraq.  They just have to stop the north.  Nato would play a very small role.

4. Israel can handle Iran alone.  Israel could handle Iran and Syria.   The world would be fine.

5. See other posts

1. Your right in most cases China and Russia and the US let each other do as they please. But in this case North Korea borders China and they are allies. If a war broke out without China's concent I doubt China would just let US forces walk up to its border. China does fear the US and does support North Korea. I think China might try to avoid direct conflict with the US and Nato but they would definatly support North Korea's military like Pakistan supported Afghanistans war against the Soviets. If the Chinese border became a battle ground I think China would move militarily into positions. Also this could cause North Korea's allies to also attack US allied states. As you pointed out Israel could probubly hold its own against Iran and Syria. Such a battle could cause other countries in South America,  North Africa and the Middle East to attack US allied states. This could trigger a war. Now maybe I was being abit drastic when I said WWIII but it has the potential to become a globalized war for sure.

2 and 3. The North could easily over power the South defences and occupy most if not all of the south in weeks. As for America controlling the skies and not needing to send boots on the ground. Thats really not optimal, North would probubly execute the majority of Southern politicians and troops. The government of South Korea would be forced under ground. Sure the US could start a massive bombing campaign but without troops on the ground they could not help the small South Korean Army retake ground. The North Korean Army would loot the South's armeries and bases and be better equiped very fast. What would the US just keep bombing Korea into oblivion once the North over takes the south? I doubt the world would stand idolly by while the US bombs the living crap out of North and South Korea.

Which leads me to the point, a military incursion would be nescessary in order for the South to win over the North, or even survive a massive Northern invasion. Thats 3.5 million troops crashing across the border heavily supported by long range weapons. Sure the US would crush those long range weapons in days but the South would still be over run. The US might resort to a Nuke but that also wouldn't be tollerated that well by the UN. The only way that South Korea could over take North Korea is if the US and Nato sent troops in. It would be a repeat of the Korean war.

Stopping the North would not resolve anything. They already stopped the North once before. They would need to secure the North or have South Korea secure the North. Or the North would just sit equip itself again and start yet another fight. Nato would want North Korea invaded and stopped for good this time. You could try to do it like with Japan where instead of a ground invasion you nuke them into submission, or bomb them into submission. A re-unification would have to occur or the war would never stop. North Korea needs to be occupied and re-unified with South Korea in order for the conflict to ever really end.