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Ginyu said:
 

You predicted 2.2 million for Japan for GT5 right? yes

Vgchartz is predicting an opening of 500,000-550,000 copies.....MGS4 opened to 480,000.

So ?

GT5 opened to 670,000 copies in Japan and went on to sell 1.1 million , not even double its opening. Which means if Vgchartz is accurate with its opening then GT5 will be lucky to sell 1 million copies.

GT3 opend at 564 and sold 1.89M

Nice cherry picking of numebrs. 

Did you know on PS1 FF outsold GT, on PS2 FF outsold GT. FF13 sold 1.86 million copies.....

So ?

Back then FF was a premier game in a rpg dominated market, it in every way should have out sold GT.  But FF13 is far from great.  Would be no surprise to see GT out sale FF this gen given the unfortunete fall from grace FF has gone through. 

How do you feel about your 2.2 million prediction?

Quite safe. GT5 will be the game to get for PS3 buyers year or two down the line, no racer will challange that.  FF13 became a afterthough not long after release.

lol someone predicted 1.1 million opening in Japan and 2.8 million lifetime, yet these people put me down for my prediction of 1 million which evidence goes to show is alot more possible than anything over 2 million.

Lowest Japan sellin GT is 1.26 highest is 2.55

Average(all 4)  is 1.855

First of a gen GTs sales in Japan are 1.86 and 2.55 - average 2.2m

You posted no evidence, you just cherry picked numbers that best support your view.

 If anything unbiased evidence aka math points to final number being closer to 2m then 1m.