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wanderson75 said:

I think it's very possible that next year you'll be seeing Microsoft very aggressively cutting price to try to widen that gap that's been closing between the 360 and the PS3.  The numbers you give, nightsurge seem pretty realistic.  So this holidy may be a "let the early adopters turn us a quick buck before we hack and slash at prices over the next two years" approach.

I would not be surprised to see a $99 360S 4GB Slim in early to mid-2012.  We might see two decent price drops around E3 and November of 2011.  I'm betting we will.

Expect more to see a $200 4GB with Kinect and 2 games to compete with Wii than the $100 Slim.  Kinect is the feature angle Microsoft wants to push.  $200 is likely the price point Microsoft will target.  After the 4GB model thing is done, look for it to be phased out with one model fits all with Kinect and the $200 price point.  You may get a second model with bigger HD though.