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Seece on 15 November 2010
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kowenicki said:
huaxiong90 said:
kowenicki said:
huaxiong90 said:
kowenicki said:

So after 1 week it is 7.5% of the way there....

Well of course, the bulk of the sales will usually be in the first week, but do you think it can sustain these sales?

That depends on how it catches on the holidays and the word of mouth.


Of course it can... not at this level forever, but for the next 6 or 7 weeks it will.  After that it will of course slow down as everything does following the holidays.  Note I havent said it will reach 20m... but I also havent said it cant.

You dont think it can obviously, so what do you think it will stop selling at? dont just say no it cant, tell me the level you think it will simply stop selling at. 

If you think it cant reach 20m then you must have a figure you think it CAN achieve.

Sorry, I didn't mean to imply that I think it's unreasonable to think that it can reach 20m (I did say earlier in the thread that it is possible), I just wanted to hear your take on all this is all.

Usually before I predict on how long a product can hold out, I just wait for second week sales. Right now, it's really a wildcard. Hence why I said the word of mouth and the holiday boom are the deciding factors in its overall sales.

I agree the current holiday surge does make the long term prospects very difficult to gauge...  but i think that kinect already has some reasonable traction in sales and momentum as generated by the general news media and word of mouth.  I didnt expect wii-like word of mouth, but I am beginning to experience this.

Likewise, MS are determined to make this the new "it" product to have.