| HexenLord said: I firmly believe Kinect will be around 10m by the end of next holiday season. I'm just saying that 20m is extremely far-fetched from a logical point of view, at least in this time-frame. I don't think its possible until well into 2013 when next-gen is about to roll around.
By your logic, Kinect will be able to draw in 10% of the eventual Wii userbase. Most studios are starting to co-develop their Wii games for the PS3 now because of Move. Analysis shows that the Move is much more likely to attract Wii users than Kinect is, since its basically a much more precise and HD version of the peripheral they've grown to love.
But something tells me that if I said Move would eventually sell 25 million units because it'll get 10m from hardcore gamers and 15% of the eventual Wii userbase, you'd throw up a BS flag in favor of the 360. THATS fanboy, not Pro-360. |
15% is not 10%, that's an extra 5 mill, but I have no idea how well Move will sell, I'm sure it'll do very well. Stop assuming things and don't tell me your view is right and I have to agree or I'm a fanboy, there is such thing as debate.
Casuals, do not care about graphics or extra precision, they care about the next big thing, and they won't be willing to sell their wii for a more expensive overall purchase for something (a bit more precise) with less games that appeal to them.
They ARE more likely to go to Kinect because.
A) the overall image is more casual friendly, as far as the core line up, it's casual heaven, same can't be said about move.
B) the price, to jump in, is much more reasonable.
C) it's different, not more of the same. It's fresh and new, something the Move will never be. It was 4 years old before it even came out, and please no eyetoy comparisons I've had enough of those.
