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Seece on 13 November 2010
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HexenLord said:

Seece said:

The problem is though, you say if Kinect hits 20m by next year


I never said that, I said about 13 mill by end of 2011.

 

20 mill by end of 2012 if it's a hit, at which point the userbase will be 65 - 70 mill. Even less than 33% attach rate.

 

If the Kinect attach rate went over 50%, it would be hard to consider it the true hardcore console that it currently is. 

I never said it would hit 50%, and again, I consider myself a core gamer and I bought Kinect.

 

You're right, you never said Kinect would have an attach rate of 50%. I used it as a point of reference to show why the 360s userbase would have to grow so much before kinect sold 20m.

 

And you're right, you never said you predicted 20m by the end of 2011 either, I was referring to THIS statement you made:

"It'll be at 60 mill by the end of 2011, 20 mill is 33%."

 

You're looking at things from the wrong angle, and you're going to start giving people here the impression that you're a 360 fanboy.

Just being pro 360 gives that impression, I really don't care what people think of me here.

The 360 userbase doesn't need to grow immensly. I already summed it up in my first post. 10 million from the core userbase, 10 million from new casual buyers.

10 mill from the (roughly) eventual 360 core userbase (60 mill) will be is what, 17% .. not difficult. 10 million casual buyers, is 10% of the eventual Wii userbase which it's appealing too.