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Seece on 13 November 2010
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HexenLord said:
Seece said:
HexenLord said:

Halo 3 probably won't ever selll 20m on the 360, AND ITS THE FLAGSHIP GAME. Saying Kinect is going to sell 20m units is a bit unreasonable. 10m is much more reasonable but the 360s userbase will have to double before that happens.

So Kinect will basically stop selling mid next holiday season?


You know as well as I do that everything that releases sells more in the first week than it does in the second year.

 

At the current rate, MS expects Kinect to have more than a 10% attach rate after the holidays. 20M would put it up to 50% (adjusting for all of the bricked RROD 360s). It'll never hit a 50% attach rate (and if it does, the 360 will no longer be a core console). 25% is reasonable if it appeals enough to casual gamers, meaning the console would have to double its current userbase. 

 

Kinda just killed your reasoning right there. And you expect 360 to stop selling completely now? It'll be at 60 mill by the end of 2011, 20 mill is 33%. You say it can't but then you're not looking at it objectivly, that much is pretty obvious.

I bought Kinect, I consider myself a core gamer. 500k bought Kinect in America in 3 days, HW rose about 80k, shave 20 off that for natural holiday boosts (same as Wii) so the bulk of those Kinect sales (over 80%) were core gamers. Core gamers (despite what PS3 fan/boys say on this site) will lap up Kinect.