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Killiana1a on 10 November 2010
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Solid_Snake4RD said:
Killiana1a said:

Looking at the preorders, Gran Turismo 5 is at 250k on November 6, 2010. Reading the comments about pre-orders and first week sales from ioi, very few games sell double the amount of their preorders in the first week. I hold Gran Turismo 5 to the same standard. Here is my NA prediction for Gran Turismo week 1:

425,000

uncharted 2 almost did

 

the reason why pre-orders are low is cause people don't know its releasing as no ads plus so many years have passed

 

when people get to know it then they could be really interested in it

 

 

and also give your lifetime NA prediction

I had 2nd thoughts considering we are still 2 weeks out and it is more than conceivable for GT5 to get 100k more in preorders. I stand by my first week prediction.

Lifetime NA = 3 million

I believe GT5 will be bundled and if it is patched to be playable with Move, then it will have legs long into the early portion of the PS4's lifespan. Yes, my first week sales are low because I am factoring in all the other to be released games and other gems released earlier in the year. However, when Sony bundles GT5 it will catch fire.

It would be more, but I don't know if Sony can ride with GT5 as long as they did GT3. The thing to watch is Nintendo's 2010 holiday sales, if they are the same as last year or lower, then I expect for Nintendo to release a Wii 2 in holidays 2012 or early 2013. I predict Nintendo will be the first to release a new console because of the lagging sales of the Wii in comparison to the rock steady sales for both the PS3 and 360.

Then again, I could be dead wrong and Nintendo may use sales from the 3DS to hold off on releasing a new console until 2014 or later.