naznatips on 01 January 2008
| mrstickball said: I might be one of the few, if only people that think there's a chance the Wii won't overtake the X360 worldwide by EOY. Let me make a few statements as to why I say this: #1. I think regardless, it'll be close, within 500k units of reachother by EOY. #2. MS has the advantage of having more units out (11.6m) and the ability to churn out more units than Nintendo does at this point in time (last year, MS shipped 4.5m units in just 3 months). #3. The games will help the X360 power past the Wii for a week or two, giving it a slight razor's edge at the end of the year to beat it by ~200k units or so. Halo 3, GTAIV, and others have proven track records and pedigree's to move units, and I think this Christmas, provided theres a pricedrop real soon, will give alot of former Xbox owners, and PS2 owners enough reason to adopt a X360 in the US and Europe over the Wii, whilst the PS3 steals some of the Wii's thunder in Japan and Europe (albiet not much). I'm pretty much sticking to my ~17.5m X360, and 17.0m Wii predictions I made back in March. Crazy? Yes. I do know, and believe, and have said for months the Wii will overtake the X360 in August, or September at the latest. Right now, unless ioi gimps the data, it'll be another 3-4 weeks at max. Could I be very wrong? Yes. But I just don't see how MS can do a ton worse than last year (they sold around 3m units from Sept-Dec) with the huge lineup, pricedrop, and everything else. IMO, they can sell 5m or so between Oct-Dec worldwide, and just edge the Wii out. That doesn't mean I think the X360 will maintain the lead for much longer after, though, as I think the Wii will re-take it's lead in mid January, and stay there for awhile. |
Burned.
