Microsoft ups Kinect Holiday sales expectations to 5mil!

[reidlosdog]

Squilliam said:

reidlosdog said:

Squilliam said:

CrazyHorse said:

Squilliam said:

I wonder why they upped their predictions. Did they find additional supply? Did they get some more feedback from the market or a combination of the two? It is hard as it stands to know precisely how much they will sell and linked to this precisely how much they have to sell. However since they have better data on the former and perfect on the latter I would trust that their projection ought to be within plus or minus 20%

(does anyone know if plus is fixed yet?)

 

I wonder if the relative success of Move has made them rethink their estimates? If Sony are to be believed and have had to increase production to meet a higher than expected demand then I expect MS would be fairly happy. I don't see why they wouldn't expect a similar (and probabaly greater) success with Kinect, especially given their marketing push. I wouldn't put too much faith in pre-order numbers as an indication of sales as, like others have said, Kinect should do very well over the holidays.

I don't really see them looking to Move at all for their numbers. They already have data and that data gets better as they can see the feedback from their recent advertising moves with Ellen and Oprah etc. Remember both Brett and Pachter has Move for 5M unique users by March, they are looking at 5M within 8 weeks. Completely different sales rates.

Whoa, when you put it like that, yeah, they are pretty different. Could Kinect have sold 10 mill by March?  More?

I never looked at it like that.  This is scary.  Someone might die because they'll fight for a Kinect.  Anyone ready to buy $1000 Kinect on Ebay?  Well someone will be.

What is this going to do to Microsofts Console sales?  They are probably going to sky rocket right?

With those 2 questions, here comes the risky one, and I'm asking it cause it'll probably on everyone's minds if Kinect does well.

Will the Xbox 360 catch up to the Wii?

Console sales will definately increase. By how much? I cannot say. I guess we'll find out but I would hate to speculate ahead of time. Could they skyrocket? Could the Xbox 360 outsell the Wii? Maybe actually thats a good question. The only thing im confident in is that 2010 will be the Xbox 360s peak year thus far and this would be at minimum a 5th calendar year peak.

Will the Xbox 360 catch the Wii? Probably not. However it'll come much closer IMO and perhaps make any casual observer looking back forget how powerful the Wii was in its first few years.

Yeah, I agree with you on that.  Next year will by MS's peak year.  The ONLY way I personally believe MS will pass the Wii is if they kill 2 birds with 1 stone.  They bring in both the semi-temporary casual gamer and the permanent gamer into the equation, but as we can see from this year, the production of MS game studios has slowed down, so I doubt this.