Squilliam said:
CrazyHorse said:
Squilliam said:
I wonder why they upped their predictions. Did they find additional supply? Did they get some more feedback from the market or a combination of the two? It is hard as it stands to know precisely how much they will sell and linked to this precisely how much they have to sell. However since they have better data on the former and perfect on the latter I would trust that their projection ought to be within plus or minus 20%
(does anyone know if plus is fixed yet?)
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I wonder if the relative success of Move has made them rethink their estimates? If Sony are to be believed and have had to increase production to meet a higher than expected demand then I expect MS would be fairly happy. I don't see why they wouldn't expect a similar (and probabaly greater) success with Kinect, especially given their marketing push. I wouldn't put too much faith in pre-order numbers as an indication of sales as, like others have said, Kinect should do very well over the holidays.
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I don't really see them looking to Move at all for their numbers. They already have data and that data gets better as they can see the feedback from their recent advertising moves with Ellen and Oprah etc. Remember both Brett and Pachter has Move for 5M unique users by March, they are looking at 5M within 8 weeks. Completely different sales rates.
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I think the only reason they upped their numbers is because of moves success and want to make people think kinect is going to do better then move no matter what, I mean we know they were lying about the sold out thing, if they really were sold out with only 300k preorders then they couldn't even make 5mil by the end of the year and we have no sales in for kinect yet no real information besides preorders, and with the amount they spent on marketing and hype they should be alot better I seriously doubt MS is going to get anywhere near this, seems like their just saying "if move can sell 3 mil were going to sell 5" to me
