@cayley96
I think you're a bit shortsighted on some points.
About point 1:
When stand-alone br-players will get cheaper, more people can afford and buy one.
That way the user-base for the BR-format will grow larger in the states ( it's allready 75% in Europe ) and publishers / studios who are now only supporting HD-DVD can no longer ignore the popularity of the format.
So they will publish their media on the BR-format as well and it will gain more popularity, and the PS3 will be a game-console that supports the most popular format, which will be an advantage over the console-competition.
About point 3:
I agree VOD will grow, but it won't replace physical media that easily.
If it will replace an existing concept, it will be the movie-rentals, not the discs which movie-collectors buy or the disney-movies (grand)parents buy for their (grand)children.
Point 4. "PS3 live is too far behind X360 one" is a subjective opinion and not a fact. It depends on your wishes / demands.
About point 5: you can expect more price-cuts in 2008. If some company knows how to build quality electronics efficiently, it's Sony.
About point 6: I'm a PS2 gamer, I appreciate the diversity the platform offers. Although I like some Mario-games, I find it boring that Mario pops up in all kind of (mini-)games.
I prefer games which have their own identity so that I get the feeling that I'm really playing a completely different game.
About point 7:
Toshiba and IBM are using the some hardware for their products, and you can expect more products using the Cell processor in the nearby future.
About point 9: If that would be a reason to worry, than MS is really having a problem.
About point 15: The PS2 is still very much alive. You can't find a better console with more games for just 100 dollar/euro.
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