Also, banking on Kinect and Move to carry the consoles further at all, let alone for 5 years, is a bad idea. They are console addons, and if we have learned anything from gaming history it's that addons do not help consoles. In fact, they can often have the opposite effect. I don't see the potential in these motion addons most people on this site seem to predict. The Move is merely a Wiimote that is attempting to mainly draw in the hardcore gamer, which is obviously missing the point of the Wii's success. And the Kinect is trying to go for the so called casuals, but MS seems to be missing the point as well by assuming that the casuals will only play fitness games and mini games. The Wii third parties learned about this casual gamer myth the hard way.
The HD consoles could last 5 more years, but that will depend heavilly on if the first and third parties can keep pumping out several quality games that people will want for another 5 years. That remains to be seen. The motion addons will have little influence. They are just tools to PLAY the games.
