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I can't see Kinect taking off at all. For me it's the wealest motion control solution of the lot. It's great having a controller free motion control solution but if they had done the same thing as Sony and come up with their own remote and nunchuck clones they could aim their motion control solution at both hardcore and casual demographics. It just seems like a very bad idea to have a motion control solution that cannot be used in any kind of shooter, they're alienating the majority of their userbase. :o/