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disolitude said:
cmeese47 said:

God I hope this thing flops like crazy a billion dollars on marketing combined with the crazy RD costs. At this rate Kinect better sell 10 million units at a hefty profit to make that cheddar back. 

I don't think Kinect will outsell Move this year but its user base should be higher since a person could buy 4 move controllers to just 1 Kinect. Plus it is already 2 million units behind but I guess if that much money can't sell the system nothing can.

Well considering Sony did not make a dime on the PS3 until 4 years in to production, I think MS is in a much better position with Kinect than Sony was with the PS3.

They have made a low cost, pretty nifty and interesting tech device which can capture casual users and their imagination very easily.  Kinect is a much smaller risk and Microsoft will be laughing to the bank within 6 months.

Now I probably won't use it much until they release some good games for it...but its easy to spot a hit product. I didn't like the last Britney Spears record, but I could tell it will be a hit with the masses.

With rumors that Kinect costs as much as 2 billion to develop add in another half billion to market and that it supposedly costs 150 to manufacture. That means every Kinect will sell at a slight loss when you consider the development costs for Kinect Adventures. Therefore, they will need to sell a lot of games to make up that kind of expense. I just don't see that happening in 6 months. This was built to be included on the next XBOX console, which is where it will finally make its money back.