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God I hope this thing flops like crazy a billion dollars on marketing combined with the crazy RD costs. At this rate Kinect better sell 10 million units at a hefty profit to make that cheddar back. 

I don't think Kinect will outsell Move this year but its user base should be higher since a person could buy 4 move controllers to just 1 Kinect. Plus it is already 2 million units behind but I guess if that much money can't sell the system nothing can.