In the DVD War Over High Definition, Most Are Sitting It Out [NY TIMES]

[smbu2000]

KBG29 said:
It is funny that many think we will end up with to formats for high def. I think thouse people need to sit back a little further and see the whole picture. Say in 5 years we had this situation:

Player Sales Market share
Dual format HD players = 40%
Blu-ray players = 20%
HD-DVD players = 20%
SD-DVD players = 20%

Now assuming that all of the Movie studios were dual format, and Movie sales were about equal to player market share, this is what software would look like:

Movie Market Share
Blu-Ray = 60%
HD-DVD = 20%
SD-DVD = 20%

But, wait a second what is the point of owning a dual format player if all of the companies support both. Dual format players will always be more expensive than a sigle format player, and if you can get every movie on both what is the point of spending the extra cash for a dual format player.

No matter what happens (less all movie studios droping it) Blu-ray is going to sell the most software in the high def market. It is better quality for the same price. No one that has a dual format player buys Warner Movies on HD-DVD, what is the point of getting something for HD if only half the content is in HD. Harry Potter is flat out a better product on Blu-ray, it has more content and all in HD.

SO the point I hope I have got across is, if we end up in a dual format world, Blu-ray wins, if we end up in a Blu-ray only world Blu-ray wins, if Warner goes HD-DVD exclusive at any time, we will never see HD movies get past a niche market.

 So why exactly will owners of dual-format HD players buy 100% blu-ray movies and 0% HD-DVD movies??? It would most likely be roughly the same. ~40% each for Blu-ray/HD-DVD.