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umm, well if it fails below 2 million sales and negative publicity it will harm sales,they will continue. But 360 sales could drop since Microsoft has banked on its success, they are spending huge amounts of money on it, and the 360 doesn't have much going on 1st party support for the next several months post kinect, that will give Ps3 and Wii sales advantage and ultimately increased because an new consumer will pick either of the two since they have an wide variety of new games coming out exclusive on top of 3rd party. 

But after a while if it fails things will go back to normal, Wii sales will continue to decline and PS3 and 360 rise 



Of Course That's Just My Opinion, I Could Be Wrong