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Fable 3 and Fallout Vegas for 360 nos. are going to be really close and really good by the looks of things.  Not sure about the 1m first week BenVtrigger mentions.   I was surprised the walk-ins for Reach were only about half the POs.  Maybe the percentages will be higher here because the scale is much smaller.  Even 1/3 of a million walk-ins could do it.  Hope I'm underestimating and they'll both be over.  Americas first week nos. were 470k for Fallout 3 and 715k for Fable 2 so 1m would show solid growth especially for Bethesda/Obsidian's baby.