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The PS3 & 360 will remain viable business platforms - they will NOT vanish and become irrelevant.

Remember that the model differs for different sections of the industry - Sony & MS (in theory) should make a lot of money from software on their platforms (pity about the hardware losses though).

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I have no doubt though, that the Wii *will* dominate - and has a real chance of becoming the most popular console ever. Even though the PS3/360 will suffer in terms of market share - just like the PSP - the actual sales figures will be respectable, and in the long term - the Wii will actually *help* them out by expanding the overall market.

Next year is when you'll see 3rd-party titles on the Wii come into their own. The early adopters of the Wii are primarily "Ninty fans" - who are more brand loyal to Ninty software. Now that sales are spreading into the "general public", as long as perceived quality is there - 3rd party sales should start to skyrocket.

Be real interesting to see how Madden (+ other games) sell this year on the Wii + other platforms.



Gesta Non Verba

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