My choice was the X-Box 360. It was a no brainer due to the popularity of the X-Box brand. Look at PS3 its sales only get a boost when Sony cuts the price. Yes it has seen some small bulsters from some software but for the most part the PS3 is about as likely to beat Microsoft as Nintendo going third party.
What does Microsoft have going for it? Halo Reach alone is bound to have boosted hardware sales. Then you have big titles like Fable III and Gears3. Now yes Sony has a very good line-up as well but lets look at its big hardware boost plan, using Move to boost sales and gain some lost ground from Nintendo. However the extremely expensive Move will cost as much as Kinect. I think once 360's are bundled with Kinect, hardware sales will boost. Even if the Kinect doesn't work well and is glitchy at launch it will still push hardware numbers up by a few million.
Japan is another big factor. It looks like Microsoft might finally have its golden gun for Japan. Kinect was extremely popular at TGS. I think if Microsoft marketed Kinect well enough it could lead to Microsoft gaining its first grip on the Japanese market. If Microsoft can manage to start selling large numbers of hardware in Japan that could change the whole outcome of the war.
Anyways theirs way to many factors in Microsoft's favour. The PS3 needs a few price cuts a cheaper Move and solid software ASAP and no Twisted Metal, LittleBigPlanet2, Killzone3 , GranTurismo5. Not even GT5 can push the PS3 to 50-million units. Sony needs to rethink their strategy fast or else they are doomed to third place.
Hopefully 3rd place will humble Sony, they will feel what Nintendo felt with the N64. Lead for two generations before loosing the spot at number one!
-JC7
"In God We Trust - In Games We Play " - Joel Reimer
