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There really isn't going to be a"motion cotrol war." Nintendo won't allow that. They have been trying to avoid the red ocean with the Wii, and they're not going to let Sony change that. By the time the Move and Kinect really get going,  Nintendo will simply move on to new technologies like the Vitality Sensor, 3DS, and whatever new quirk the next Nintendo console has. I think Nintendo has learned from the red ocean wars of the Super NES, N64, and Gamecube. Any time Sony or MS tries to copy them, they will probably just move on and make something else, at which point that new thing will be emulated, and the circle of life repeats.