Given the above talk about Kinect sales/marketing. From what I can figure they probably won't make any money on Kinect even if they sell to their projections of 3M or more by the end of the year. The marketing expenditure is massive, from what I can recall it was over 50M in additional marketing expenditure in the last quarter alone and most of that was Kinect related.
Anyway back to Move.
I don't think early sales matter so much whether they are large, medium or small in the short run. Over the longer term it does matter significantly more and as always their actions IMO are setting themselves up for 2011 rather than a strong finish to 2010. They need positive word of mouth moreso than Microsoft or Nintendo at this point. This is the reason why they priced their accessory to sell to current PS3 owners whereas Microsoft positioned Kinect best with new Xbox 360 owners with their $299 bundle.
Tease.
