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I honestly expect it open really, really huge.  Halo hate seems to not be as potent as it was back with Halo 3 or during ODST's release for some reason.  Maybe its because the feature set for this game is unequaled in the genre.  Maybe the bitter PS3 fanboy trolls are more content now that their console has plenty of games to play.  Maybe CoD fatigue has kicked in enough to where people are ready to return to Halo.

Regardless, the user base is MUCH larger now, the game is much more representative of a now-gen experience and the advertising campaign overall has been less . . . Dew lol.  It will open bigger than Halo 3 or ODST.  That is a given.  But how much more?  Its hard to tell, but if the current 360 sales are any indicator, it IS the hot system right now.