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roadkillers said:
Yes the Wii is selling very good but....

1. The software isnt selling the best. The software that really only sells on it is Wii sports or that other one with a free Wii mote (wii play?). Mario did sell well but far behind what people thought. In Japan that game didnt sell even close to what people were predicting.

2. Wii probally wont be here that long. I have a feeling Nintendo will bring in a New console in the next couple of years. I'd say around 2 years once the Wii sales slow down drastically if that ever happens. Then again if that does happen Nintendo can just do a price drop and look what will happen. No wii's once again.

3. Personally now I think its just PS3 vs. Xbox 360. The Wii has taken off and I doubt either of those can catch up. Im sorry to say this but by the end of next year I think 360 will be done. It will end up in last last place behind two consoles that started a year late. Plus the 360 doesnt sell great anywhere beside in North America.

1.  The software is absolutely selling the best.  In it's first year the Wii had 10 million sellers compared to the 360's 7 and the PS3's 2.  The Wii now outsells the 360 worldwide in software by a wide margin even without Wii Sports (Or Wii play if you want to go there), and has outsold it in software America minus Wii Sports (but not Wii Play) a couple times despite less hardware.  The attach rate is lower, but it's also a first year console.  Attach rate grows over time, so the one that's been out the longest (The 360) should have the highest attach rate.  A good example of this is that Wii and PS3 attach rates are nearly equal when you take out Wii Sports.  

2.  Why do you have a feeling Nintendo would release a new console in the next couple of years?  What gives you that feeling?  What is the logic behind that?  Nintendo is by far the most business saavy company of the 3 in the video game industry.  They make a profit on everything.  Even the Gamecube matched the PS2 in profits some quarters.  Releasing a new console would be contrary to everything Nintendo has tried to build over the years.  They don't want to be seen as the company constantly upgrading in technology.  They don't want consumers to feel like they have to "keep up."  You will see a PS4 and Xbox 720 before you see a Wii 2, and you will see a PSP2 long before you see a DS 2.  

3.  It's certainly possible that Microsoft will see a sharp decline in sales next year, and I expect this as well, but I don't expect the PS3 to pass it, but rather to catch up.  Both should maintain relatively equal sales in 2009 and beyond.