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Yay for jumping to conclusions 4 months before 2011 has even started. I have to admit that the 360's exclusive lineup for next year is a bit barren at the moment though.

My guess?

Gears of War 3. Confirmed release date.

XCOM. Projected release date: 2011. Could turn out to be a timed exclusive.

Kingdoms. It seems like MS wants this to be the next Gears of War. Probably a fall release.

New Turn10 project. FM in 05, FM2 in 07, FM3 in 09, new game in 2011? Probably a fall release.

Digital distribution. The 360 has been killing the competition this year with Game Room, PD XBLA, Toy Soldiers, PB Winterbottom, Limbo, Hydro Thunder, Monday Night Combat and a few others. I expect to see the same kind of support in 2011 as well.

There's also a few upcoming low key 360/PC releases such as Captain Blood, The Last Templar and Death to Spies III. I don't expect a lot from them, but you never know.