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saicho said:

On the other hand, when you compare GT to GTA like that, it also shows that it's possible for the sale to drop 65% when the franchise moving from PS2 to PS3 since GTA games went from 18.42 to 6.7.

Or once can argue that GTA games never got super popular until it went 3D in GTA3. Since then, the series averaged 14.74 M per game and it's a more popular franchise on PS2. Yet GTA 4 sold 6.7 M on PS3.


A possibility, but its not very probable. GTA wasn't a game that people went out and bought a PS just to play. Especially when the game went Multi-plat, there were more options for them. Some already had a 360 thanks to the earlier release, and didn't have to bother with purchasing a PS3. Besides, a lot of the old GTA game sales were to minors, something that has been restricted quite a bit in the last 3-4 years.

 

GT is still exclusive and a flagship title. Its one of the games that people will own a playstation just to play, even if its their only game. GTA didn't have that advantage, even after going multiplat.

 

Even if it doesn't break the lowest of GT sales (9.37 million), it won't be very far behind. With all of the innovative features GT is going to include over the previous games in the series (and other games currently on the PS3), its userbase should actually expand quite nicely. Sales may be low at first due to a much smaller userbase for the PS3 over the previous consoles at the time of other games' releases, but the PS3 should sell upward of ~50 million more consoles in its lifetime, with roughly 10% of those users willing to purchase GT5