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It is 1:1.  Or at least as close as you're going to get it.  Like others' have said, that part before the match is mimicking his motions, not activating pre-set motions depending on where his hands are.  Now in the fight it does start to become a little more hit or miss.  But, its only 60% done.  They still have a couple of months to fix all the tracking issues and/or bugs.  And something tells me Sony is going to make sure they do.  Not that they wouldn't on their own, of course.