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I don't normally post here, but I figured I'd share my thoughts. 

I think Microsoft will have the rest of the year, by typically small margins. PS3 will take the holidays with GT5, LBP and DCUO launching in November, and the moves success already established by this point, followed up by heavy marketing over the holiday period. 

Halo Reach of course, being the third in the series. With ODST not selling many units. Will also - not sell 360 units, to any significant degree, anyway. 

The PS Move, will most likely perform initially worse than Kinect, but I think the Move will have more legs, and eventually push more units. However I don't think either move or Kinect will push any significant hardware figures. The PS3 may be able to reclaim Europe on the weeks around the Playstation Moves release. 

PS3 will still end up on top of the 360, for hardware units sold, this year.