Week 1
NA: 600k. Japan: 300k. Others: 800k. Total: 1.7m
Week 10
NA: 1.2m. Japan: 500k. Others: 1.5m. Total: 3.2m
LTD Prediction
NA: 1.5m. Japan: 800k. Others: 2m. Total: 4.3m
My predictions are mostly based off a few specific facts: first, so far, I'm comparing this to the highest selling game on the PS3 that was sold ONLY on the PS3, and that was Metal Gear Solid 4 at 4.78m units LTD. I know just how obsessive the fans are for MGS, so I'm willing to say reasonably that they might have a few more fans than GT5 might. It might become the best selling PS3 exclusive since the console's release, but it'll be close if it does.
Statistically speaking, here's my last set of predictions, based off of stats from previous games. In that sense, I'll compare it to GT3: A-Spec, since it has 14m units LTD. There are, to date, around 145m PS2s sold as well.
14.89m unit equals out to 10.3% of all PS2 owners having bought it for penetration rate. This is actually a decent number, considering that FF13 on PS3 was bought by 11.5% of PS3 owners. So, my prediction:
If GT5 is to do as well, comparatively, to GT3: A-Spec, they would need to sell approximately 3.7m units. 5m ? Possible, I figure. 6m ? I somehow doubt it. We'll see when it arrives though.
