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damndl0ser said:

So much stuff going on in this thread it amazes me at times.  There are a few points I want to hit on and then I will be done with it.

My first point is the simple fact that it doesn't matter if the PS3 does slip ahead in a few years.  The damage is done and the Glory of the former King (PS2) is dead and gone.  I would imagine coming into this gen a majority of people would have said that the PS3 would have smashed everyone and easily outsold everyone by a factor of 10.  Over confidence and Arrogance did Sony in.  Anytime higher ups of a company ask you to take a second job  or get a loan on your house to buy their product, something is  wrong.   Even with all of this going on, Sony has managed to lower the cost and find some humbleness (Saving the PS3 and the company).  Hopefully things will change for the PS4 and we will not have this mess again.  If they Jack the price up again for the PS4, Sony will not be as fortunate next go round.

Will GT 5 sell 10 million copies?  Personally I think it will do around 6 for the simple fact that the PS3 doesn't have the user base that the PS2 did, not to mention that base has splintered.  I don't think 1 out of 4 people will make a racing game purchase this gen.  In the states It will be lucky to do 1 in 8.  I know that Europe still loves racing but I don't think it will be as big as a lot of people give it credit for.  The real question is how many PS3's it will sell.  I'm thinking not many.  A lot of those GT lovers from the PS2 have moved over to the 360 and this has split potential sells.  If the PS3 was $199 things would be much different though.

Halo Reach will have about the same impact on console sales as GT effectively canceling each other out.  I do believe Reach will sell several million more copies though.

All in all I don't think there will be a big difference sales wise with either system.  The 360 will motor along for a while in front and then something minor will change and give the weekly sales lead back to the PS3.  This will probably cycle through for the rest of this Gen unless Natal/Kinect really does a game changer.  If that happens all bets are off and the 360 will win hands down.  So while I don't think the PS3 will finish second this gen, the best it can do it will do is a stale mate.

 

Last thing, I love how a few of you like to cherry pick your numbers to suite your needs.   Too bad there is always someone coming in and pointing those out.  Snap!!

erm, it will do 4-5m just in europe alone, halo reach won't move consoles becasue halo3 and osdt already on the console. its userbase its there.

GT5 its first full GT, prologue did almost 4m? and 39% of GT5 buyers doesn't have even have a ps3.