Running out of Internet

[Soleron]

NJ5 said:

...

We won't run out of IP addresses in 339 days. We will run out of unallocated IP addresses.

Yes. And the next RIR that needs an /8 block is going to be pretty stuck, because it won't have any IP addresses to give out unless something is done then. That event should happen within 6 months of those 339 days. Still not a lot of time.

There will still be plenty of unused IP addresses. How hard it will be to distribute those unused addressses, and how long until we entirely run out of addresses are much harder questions.

Agreed. If nothing whatsoever is done though (and that seems likely), real problems are within about a year and a half of now.

Hopefully IpV6 will help, but as far as I know most routers/modems people have at their homes don't support it. I know my router doesn't.

Yes, and every single device running IPv4 has to be replaced in order to make IPv6 work, otherwise the people who are assigned only IPv6 addresses won't be able to communicate with them (a fragmented internet).

There will have to be a serious effort from ISPs and router manufacturers to get everyone ready for IpV6.

And that effort needs to start about... five years ago? It's now certain there will be pain, but the degree of pain is unknown.