I find Soleron very interesting.
He's the mafia player that we have got the most posts from. Khuutra and Final-Fan died during the first night and RCT was a lurker.
We know that Soleron belonged to Mafia group A. We know that Final-Fan was his team-mate. We know that there has to be at least one more player in Mafia group A, because Mafia group B had a Mafia Leader. That in mind, let's look at some notable Soleron posts...
In Soleron's most notable post on Day1 he tells tanstalas why it's okay to find supermario suspicious.
On Day2 Soleron tells us what he thinks of everyone currently alive - very interesting.
SnakeEyez is posting at a minimum and Falcon/silver-tiger aren't active (unless I missed them somewhere).
sm128 will be modkilled, I'm sure, so there's no point in going after him like I said I would.
...
People who I think or know are Town: tanstalas, dsister, stefl, Gnizmo (that dejected tone has to be real), Nikells (don't know why really, just an impression), theRepublic (convincing lines of argument)
Undecided: j0/RCT/sabby/trangent (Few memorable posts I can recall; need to go back and look at them), noname (Something was off about that epic analysis post, like it was convincing on the surface but was really just an attempt to look useful and seem to be investigating people), hatmoza (insane amount of posts day 1 but not adding much overall. Could just be his style)
Suspicious: Vetteman (Acted oddly in defending himself yesterday), GoW (Saying he 'hasn't got much to add and could anyone explain what's going on' is a huge warning sign in my opinion; a Townie would add least try and dig up something himself)
And the rest I've already addressed as lurkers because of the lack of content in the few posts they have.
Then Soleron edits in a vote cast against God_of_War.
After God_of_War replies, Soleron quickly rescinds his vote.
Soleron votes for Silver-Tiger, saying "OK, having looked at Falcon095, silver_tiger and SnakeEyez, I most suspect silver_tiger by a small margin. They're all guilty of active lurking though."
Then he votes Snakeeyez, then he questions supermario.
On the next day, Soleron singles out Vetteman for suspicion
But then he votes RCT after stefl reveals that he's guilty.
Based on this information, this is the order of players I see as most likely to be the Mafia B Leader
Sabby
Nikells
Hatmoza
To different extents Soleron went after supermario, Silver-Tiger, God_of_War and Vetteman.
He seems to give an easy time to stefl, dsister, j0, Nikells, sabby and Hatmoza/Heph.
Out of these, Soleron never directly spoke to Nikells, j0 or Sabby - only once to Hatmoza.
J0's had a fairly easy ride so far this game as I don't think he's come under suspicion at all. But then I don't find him particularly suspicious either - he posts often enough and nothing has set off alarms bells yet.
Hatmoza I found suspicious anyway because of how his opinions seemed to be so in line with those or Khuutra and Final-Fan on the first day, the whole MM thing, and then the argument with dsister. Also his warning not to trust stefl sticks out - not that it's unwise to be cautious, but I could understand why he would want to do this if he were mafia and about to be replaced.
Nikells has sort of popped in and out of play during the game - Soleron's opinion on him is also the weirdest, he just has an "impression" that Nikells is pro-town. Also I don't like being told that I'm protown - because I know that I'm protown. And people saying that they think that I'm protown (even when nobody else has really made a case that I'm not) looks like trying to make yourself look good to both me and to the town if I'm killed.
Sabby is harder to pin-down. His posts tend to be short and he doesn't give that much away. Also he seems to not be playing close attention to what's happened before in some cases. For me right now it's a toss up between Nikells and Sabby.
Nikells seems to think Sabby is protown, whereas Sabby seems to think Nikells is scum. Based on my memory of Sabby not minding if the first day ended sooner rather than later (ala Khuutra and Final-Fan), I'm willing to bet like this for now.
vote: Sabby
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