I'm getting tired of people saying that Kinect will sell loads just because it "looks" fun for the casuals. Really, it "looks" fun, so everyone will jump on it. It has to actually "be" fun, and at this point, we can't make any conclusions. If making money was as easy as making something that looked fun, then I'm sure Nintendo or SONY would have decided to use this.
I'm also tired of people comparing the Wii to Kinect and saying Kinect because it's similar to the wii. It's going to be harder for Kinect because 1.) Kinect will have to compete with the already established and cheaper wii, 2.) XBOX has built a reputation on being a hardcore console, 3.) doesn't cater to existing fans, and not to mention the alleged limitations/rules Kinect has. Here are the launch titles for Kinect and Wii:
http://www.vertigogaming.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2010/06/launchofdoom.jpg
http://www.joystiq.com/2006/08/13/the-confirmed-wii-launch-lineup/
So people are saying that Casual customers will buy a Hardcore console with a casual peripheral before a cheaper wii (which is cheaper and has great games released and releasing). All this because the device looks "fun". I've some Kinect videos that didn't look like they were fun to the consumer. I'm not saying that Kinect won't be successful, I'm just saying people shouldn't make conclusions at this point in time.