There is no chance. No chance!
VGChartz Hardware data for the period 01st Nov 2009 to 02nd Jan 2010:
Console | Wii | PS3 | X360 |
Total
|
10,612,945
|
5,581,020
|
4,371,058
|
America
|
5,249,030
|
2,253,249
|
2,496,436
|
Japan
|
979,935
|
780,017
|
52,439
|
Total Others
|
4,383,980
|
2,547,754
|
1,822,183
|
Okay, so assuming this is the holiday period? Let's assume the Wii is down 40% (which is insane, recall NPD had Wii over 5 million in the US for those two months in 09 alone, but imagine for your sake), that puts it at ~6.4mil between Nov and Dec.
To catch this, the PS3 would need to be up by about 15% over lasts year's already extremely high, record HD console total (its debut holiday at $300).
The X360 would need to be up 45% over last year. Yeah, that isn't happening