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As long as Bungie keeps putting out more informtion about Reach and just how good it is looking I don't see how it won't outsell Halo 3.  I've always been more of an MW guy because I prefer the one shot one kill style but I still aprreciate what bungie does with their MP.  And Forge looks sick! if they allow people to make their own maps and have others download them it could attract alot of the MW players that felt abandoned by Infinity ward and Activision.