3D Revenue Already Decreasing

[STEKSTAV]

vlad321 said:

STEKSTAV said:

http://hothardware.com/News/3D-Dominates-The-Cinema-Reels-In-33-Of-All-Box-Office-Revenue-Since-December/
http://blog.boxofficespy.com/2010/03/3d-movies-spike-box-office-revenue-3d.html
http://www.filmofilia.com/2010/03/24/3d-movie-fans-expand-box-office/
http://www.digitaltvnews.net/content/?p=12312

Its not all doooooomed because of a decline in 3d revenue tickets from a couple of movies. Got to remember that the 3D push we see today haven't been on the market that long. look at the DVD vs Blu Ray for example, imagine if Blu Ray had taken 33% of the market since the release of the medium. 3D revenue sits at 33% since the big push with Avatar last December! Thats a major increase from what we've seen of 3D before.

 

That entire graph seems to be just projections and based on almost no data to back it up.

"The DisplaySearch 3D Display Technology and Market Forecast Report is a comprehensive analysis of the stereoscopic 3D display technologies and their market forecasts through 2018. The report profiles about 150 3D display-related companies, with a breakdown by technology for 3D display and supply chain. 3D image creation and processing, human factors, content delivery and standardization are also discussed in the report. The Excel database provides a pivot table with market forecasts for units, revenues and ASPs, by nine size breakdowns, and ten applications: TV, mobile phone, digital camera/camcorder, digital photo frame, head-mounted display, notebook PC, monitor (<39.x”), 40 ” monitor, public display, cinema and other applications.

The report analyzes over a dozen 3D display technologies, focusing on six categories in the market forecast: passive glasses with one panel, passive glasses with two panels, active glasses, no glasses (auto-stereoscopic), head-mounted display and holographic/volume. The report also covers touch screens for 3D displays. For more information on this report, please contact Charles Camaroto at 1.888.436.7673 or 1.516.625.2452, or [e-mail] or contact your regional DisplaySearch office in China, Japan, Korea or Taiwan."

In the end it is a forecast, much like Sony forecasted 13m units sold last year to the laughter of internet know-it-alls, but a forecast at that. And in other words, estimates, guesses, predictions.. but with the method of how they collected data and analyzed trends, sure looks like a valid one to make such a forecast about the future. So i disagree that the graph is just some made up, cross our fingers and put our faith in higher powers-graph.