Analyst: Microsoft could get $1 billion from Xbox Kinect

[Buzzi]

DirtyP2002 said:

Buzzi said:

DirtyP2002 said:

Buzzi said:

Why 25% of Xbox 360 owners should buy Kinect? Is there a game (or more) which will move 9 million people to spend 150$? Wii Motion Plus without Wii Sports Resort probably wouldn't have sold 20m by now, and that is a bit over 25% of Wii owners. Plus we all know many Xbox sales are because of RRoD problems, so probably moving 5 million units to already existing customers would be already enough with the line up Kinect looks to have (party games, sports games, fitness games, few racing games).

There are 15 games az launch. Niot one game will sell hardware, a library of games will.

And the bolded part is just trolling.

 

After I wrote that I thought someone would take it as trolling :)

I just wanted to point out that the effective Xbox number is under 40m.

Anyway, that library of 15 games will sell 9m Kinects? I would agree if they covered all genres, like Microsoft said last year. Really, they only cover the casual genres, plus some of them are extremely similar to some wii games. I can't see them selling Kinects, maybe the opposite happens though: people will buy Kinect because is something new and so they'll buy software with it, no matter the type of game.

The balance board supports only a handful of games and look what happened.

Because there's Wii Fit! If Kinect has something like Wii Fit (as disruptive I mean) it will sell a lot and push systems. With 15 already seen type games, it can sell just well. It'll depend on many factors, but software sells hardware, not the opposite.