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Mr Khan said:

My prediction has always been PS4 coming out last of the three, with Nintendo 6 and Xbox 3 coming out in a photo finish against one another.

 

In Sony's case, they care more about money and will want to optimize their PS3 investments, and there's going to be less pressure to jump immediately into the next generation technoligically. Microsoft needs to do it for rebranding purposes (if they ever want to seriously contend for expanded market action), and problems in Japan are going to force Nintendo to move by the end of 2011

 

But the next Xbox isn't going to be that much stronger than what we have. 4 GB of system RAM at absolute most, for instance, so there will be the possibility that next-gen games will at least be scalable to PS360 levels, at least.


I think that we could see fairly substantial improvements in processing power in the next generation, but the added demands on these systems along with the diminishing returns of graphical technology will ensure that this improvement is perceived as small.

What I mean is that many of the best looking HD games did not actually render at HD resolutions (they were close to 720p, but below it) and they struggled to make 30fps; and in the next generation a lot of developers will be targeting 1080p and 60fps or 3D@720p, which requires a lot more processing power but not in a noticeable way. To make matters worse, if you doubled the number of polygons and doubled the texture detail that the Playstation could render it would have resulted in a noticeable and dramatic improvement in visuals; but a comparable improvement to the XBox 360 or PS3 would be seen as being a minimal improvement.